Before committing any real money, the researchers tested the idea on 10 years of historical data on the closing odds and results of 479,440 soccer games played between 2005 and 2015. This simulation paid out 44 percent of the time and delivered a yield of 3.5 percent over the 10-year period. “For an imaginary stake of $50 per bet, this corresponds to an equivalent profit of $98,865 across 56,435 bets,” they say.
At first glance, the difference looks like it’s .53, or just over half a point. But the difference is actually 1.15, or just over a point. Notice that the offensive yards per point for the two teams is almost the same, at 18.49 and 18.48. But the defensive yards per point for team B are much lower than the defensive yards per point of team A, at 18.18 to 19.32.
Detach all emotion involved with your personal feelings. Betting on sports has to be a business transaction for you. If you have read any articles on this website before you know that I am a die-hard Giants fan. That said I wouldn’t think twice about betting against the Giants or on one of their rivals. I try to avoid betting on the Giants games at all costs but if there is value in a pick, I will take the other team. If you are testing a new strategy and it’s not working, don’t stay married to it. This goes back to the Quarterback analogy, you have to have a short memory. If you are way too emotional after a loss because of the money you have lost, you are spending too much money and need to think of a new money management plan. Don’t bet with more money than you are willing to lose.Also, you don’t want to bet on a game just because it is on national TV and make it more “fun”. Remember if you want to make money long term, you are not doing this for fun. You are betting on sports because you want to pad your pockets.

Simply The Bets is dedicated to producing and providing clients with a consistently profitable system through a patient and objective approach. The number one key factor in losing money when it comes to gambling is emotion. We let our numbers and statistics do the talking. Our sports betting strategies aren't just about a quick betting trick to make money fast. Our business sports bet strategy is to make money over time and build success. See below for our success history:


So many punters I know bet ‘on gut’, follow favourites or tipsters blindly or just try to make decisions based on summaries in the Racing Press or online but there is a reason why some ‘professional gamblers’ resort to punditry on TV and a reason why these ‘experts’ are working for media companies. It’s mainly because they talk a good talk or have had success in the past before the market wised up to them. A lot of punters also just don’t learn or adapt with the times, which you have to do on a regular basis. Many gamblers looked up to the big-betting exploits of Harry Findlay but has anyone heard from him lately? Last I heard he had filed for bankruptcy back in 2012. You need to stop being so lazy and start using your time more effectively to understand your own betting and formulate your own choices.
Simply The Bets is dedicated to producing and providing clients with a consistently profitable system through a patient and objective approach. The number one key factor in losing money when it comes to gambling is emotion. We let our numbers and statistics do the talking. Our sports betting strategies aren't just about a quick betting trick to make money fast. Our business sports bet strategy is to make money over time and build success. See below for our success history:

This should probably go to number 1 to be honest but value means different things to different people. I make my own oddsline so I can see value in EVERY single race thanks to the automatically generated odds-lines for each race. Does that mean you should bet every single one? Well, no…that is where the ‘Specialise and Focus’ step comes in but if you are not backing horses at bigger odds than the market estimates their chances then you will really struggle to make a long-term profit. You could back a horse at 6/4 that should be 5/4, that is value but I would rather back a horse at 20/1 that should be 10/1. There may be longer losing runs but the payoff for me is far better. Of course this depends on how good you are at selecting long-odds shots but on Betfair you can get some crazily overpriced top-rated horses who pay 50/1 instead of the 33/1 SP for example. So don’t look for winners of races, look for overlays within the race.
Smart bettors know that context is as important as anything else when it comes to a straight-up pick – that goes for any sport. In the NBA, the early season (the first 20 games in particular) is the best time to place wagers in terms of advantage gambling. Bettors have an edge against most bet shops, bookmakers, online sportsbooks, and mobile sports betting apps early on in the year for a number of reasons:
Does this sound too good to be true? We understand if this sounds too easy. Over the years, this industry has been filled with rip-off artists who make extravagant claims of 70, 80 and 90% winners. While this can be done during any given week or month it's simply not possible to win at this rate over the long haul of a season. If you want to make money gambling on sports and would like professional help from a sport handicapping service that has a consistent winning record and has stood the test of time then Doc's Sports is your service. Our sports betting system works, it's that simple. If you would like to speak to someone personally about our service without any call backs or high pressure sales tactics that you may have run into with other services then give us a call by viewing our Contact Us Page - Click Here
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