Free Play from Doc's Sports. Take #201 Michigan State Spartans +13.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 BTN) The Spartans get up for this game and it would not surprise me if they take this one down to the wire. Michigan State beat Penn State last season and expect a bounce back in this game after playing flat against Northwestern last Saturday. Michigan State has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Penn State is still in shock after losing to Ohio State two weeks ago and seeing their chances of making the College Football Playoff greatly deteriorate. Penn State is 1-10 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 13 games following an loss in their previous game. Do not miss out on Doc's Sports weekend card! 9-3 run in the NFL and 8 of 9 profitable weeks in football. Read More
I would say some speakers wavered between compelling and hammering the states to get with it. Online betting is a major growth area, and so is esports. New Jersey won’t allow betting on esports, a last-minute shift that seemed to surprise many. More people bet on esports than hockey last year. It’s a huge growth area and quickly becoming a mainstream sport. The industry very much wants states to think more progressively in this regard.

Today Match Prediction – Betegy System is a title that’s been discovered from the sports gambling industry for nearly 6 decades, the coming in the marketplace was mid-2012. It’s not a bookmaker, it’s not a casino, but it’s a supplier of a unique and profitable service however for its punters. We’re speaking about a few of the very best prediction systems for sport gambling that exist now.


In my opinion however, one key piece of advice has been forgotten. VOLUME! To me volume is everything. Why? Because any person could blindly pick -110 plays and have a reasonable chance of being close to .500. If you fancy yourself a "sharp" handicapper, betting a large volume maximizes your opportunity to cash in on your expertise in a particular sport if you feel you have an advantage (knowledge, system, etc.) over the house. Each day that I have been handicapping here at line.com, my entire bankroll will be in play each day even though the bet size is limited (wisely) to a max of 5% of the initial $10,000 bankroll, and throughout the day I continue placing more wagers as I hit my winners.

This method allows him to bet on more than a hundred games per month!!! (No need for long and meticulous analysis). Not all of the bets are good, of course, and on the short term, you will not see your bankroll go crazy as the odds are about 1.5 per game but on the long term, you do have the edge and therefore you'll make profit. So far, the profit is huge actually and just for April, he has +100 bets and +153.5%.

The system combines the computer algorithm analyzing huge data in over 80 parameters (this is really superb) and expertise of professional handicappers who make living sports betting. This provide you the world top class reliable tips with comprehensive rationale, which transform the gambling into solid investment. Importantly, the system is continually being overhauled. It is not a static program, but a living, breathing, and evolving program. We think the system is absolutely value for money.
We need to refine our handicapping to get the best value. That means we should move away from the simplistic dynamic of just merely forming an opinion along the lines of who will win. We need to use our handicapping to determine who will win, but more importantly, we need to calculate value. That means we are more concerned with the price. If we can consistently find wagers where the price is right, then we have a fighting chance. Looking for a great place to bet on games? Check out http://sports.williamhill.com which is one of the oldest and most trusted names on the net!
Often referred to as the ebook expert, Bob Burnham's reviews are easily reachable everywhere – blogs, online publications and magazines. He was featured in prestigious publications and he even gained a few rewards for his own ebooks. While constantly releasing new work, his main focus is on unbiased reviews of modern ebooks while pursuing his career as a literature professor. Over the past years, his name was linked with a plethora of bestsellers that were successfully reviewed over the Internet. more
In this system, a number of experts who are cappers & make a living sports betting for many years, give you their predictions. The tips are based on practical experience in a mixture of diverse games in a special forum threads. They are using Zcode tools and years of their own knowledge to provide winning picks for you. If you read and follow them, you can understand how well these guys know their stuff and how good they are.

SBD has been connecting people with first-rate online sports betting sites for almost a decade. We set out to create a site that highlights the critical information sports bettors need to know when searching for a sportsbook. Our expert reviewers share their personal experiences with each of the top-rated betting sites listed, showcasing the ones that pay out fastest, have the best selection of odds, provide great service, and offer juicy but attainable bonuses and/ ongoing promotions.

It’s also important to remember that the Kelly Criterion system only works if you know your edge, which you use to calculate your stake. If your calculation of your edge is incorrect, you’re still going to have difficulties whatever you do. Read through the rest of our Betting Resources archive to help sharpen your understanding of betting formulas and strategies.


There are some instances where there may be value in a pick that you won't want to bet on. The further that the payout odds get from zero, the bigger the value you'll need to be looking for. For example, the difference between +150 and +200 is 50. This would be a pretty big value find in our opinion. The different between +1000 and +1050 is also 50, but this would not really be a huge value find. The bet is so unlikely to happen that the risk is most likely not worth the reward. In theory, yes, you could still make this bet, but it's going to take you so many instances to overcome the variance that it's probably not worth it.
Honestly, the answer to this question is which approach works better for you. Some people who love math and statistics are going to like the mathematical approach. Other people who are allergic to math might enjoy the other approach. As long as the approach you choose is working for you and you're winning, that's going to be the better approach. If you're brand new to betting, you may want to start with the eyeball approach but toy around with the mathematical one. Just make sure that you're putting in the proper amount of research and effort into making your picks.
If you're curious as to what you think the odds should be based on what we think the likelihood of them winning is, you can figure that out. You put 40% into the implied probability converter and see that you think the odds should be +150. This means that if you were to bet $100, you think you should be getting $150 in profit while the sportsbook is willing to pay out $400 in profit. There is a lot of value here.
Most punters are looking for a quick-fix, have a closed mind, are lazy and want ‘tips’ spoon-fed to them but the main issue is that they have a very short-term mindset. I can pretty much tell which type of bettor someone will be within my first few interactions with them. If they have a run of bad results over a week or even a month then they will look to blame anyone but themselves instead of adapting the long-term mindset and the ability to examine their results which comes back to the previous step. What is long-term? Well some might consider it a few weeks, some a few months, some a season, very few consider a year or 3+ years but that is how it should be viewed. When you go for a job interview, unless you are a contractor, you don’t ask how much the weekly or monthly salary is…you are interested in the annual wage and that is how you should view your betting AT LEAST over a year.
Instead of looking at the game as a single game, imagine that the two teams are going to play 100 times. Decide how many times you think one team will win out of those 100 times. That will be your predictive percentage. If you think they'll probably win 60 times out of 100, your predictive probability is 60%. You can do this with 10 games as well and multiply it by 10. It doesn't really matter which you use. What does matter is that you're able to get your mind thinking differently.
When it comes to global application, we have separately issued How To Make Money From Offshore Sports Betting With 3 Advantage Plays,  where you will find the specific methods that enable people from almost all countries to exploit the lucrative offshore advantage gambling opportunities (the above 3 sports betting methods) you may have overlooked. Very useful, so suggest take a look if you haven’t done that yet. It’s worth your 10 minutes reading.

Zcode System claims that they are not about gambling and they trade sports just as you would in Forex trading. They apply more than 80 parameters to come up with the winning system. Some of the parameters include player injuries and other player conditions, home or away games, goalies, past performance, trainers/coach, match importance, feuds, rivalries, events and predicted future performance among others. Besides, they take sports’ experts opinion to add to the analytics. All these parameters are added to give an outcome.


When it comes to betting on sports online, why not go with the site that’s literally named after the name of the game? BetOnline sportsbook has been providing legal, fun sports betting opportunities to Texas residents for years. Not only will you be able to find lines on professional sports, you’ll also find betting opportunities on more college games than you’ll know what to do with. BetOnline has some of the most incredible wagering of any online gambling site period. When you’re at BetOnline, it doesn’t matter if it’s your first time betting or your thousandth time. They’ve got something for everyone, and a fully trained staff that can be reached 24/7 to help you if you really need it.
That was all about to change. I had spent the summer working on “Soccermatics”, my book about maths and football, and decided to set myself one final challenge before I sent my draft to the publishers. I was going to take everything I had learnt about the mathematics of football and apply it to a real-life situation. I was determined to use maths to beat the bookies. 
The power of this tool has no comparison with others since all the data that appear in this tool is specific for an athlete(baseball players). With this tool, the bettors who use the Zcode system login will have details of the physical state and performance of pitchers during the MLB season. Tracking during the entire season makes this tool a great help in choosing bets.

TREY,STAMOS,MARK,JENS,HUANG,thank u,thank u,thank u,thank u,brilliant day,won about 85% of all bets placed thanks 2 the most awesome crew around!!!!!!STAMOS how do u do it??so consistent youre like a tipping magician or wizard-and your magic dust is far too much for the bookies 2 combat.please never ever leave us.being a wizard,u shud live foreva???
Cindi May is a Professor of Psychology at the College of Charleston. She explores mechanisms for optimizing cognitive function in college students, older adults, and individuals with intellectual disabilities. She is also the project director for a TPSID grant from the Department of Education, which promotes the inclusion of students with intellectual disabilities in postsecondary education.
While the usual long-shot bias didn’t make money last season, I found an additional bias that was immune to the peculiarities of Leicester’s amazing run, the frailties of Manchester City’s defence and the unreliability of Arsenal’s strikers. Punters don’t like backing draws in big matches. When Manchester United host Manchester City or Arsenal visit Liverpool, these matches see two very well matched teams play each other. But punters like to see a win in one direction or the other and the bookmakers increase the odds for a draw. This is a consistent bias over a number of Premier League seasons, and the 2015-16 season was no exception. Many “big game” matches ended in draws and backing these draws was the main source of my profits. 
This should probably go to number 1 to be honest but value means different things to different people. I make my own oddsline so I can see value in EVERY single race thanks to the automatically generated odds-lines for each race. Does that mean you should bet every single one? Well, no…that is where the ‘Specialise and Focus’ step comes in but if you are not backing horses at bigger odds than the market estimates their chances then you will really struggle to make a long-term profit. You could back a horse at 6/4 that should be 5/4, that is value but I would rather back a horse at 20/1 that should be 10/1. There may be longer losing runs but the payoff for me is far better. Of course this depends on how good you are at selecting long-odds shots but on Betfair you can get some crazily overpriced top-rated horses who pay 50/1 instead of the 33/1 SP for example. So don’t look for winners of races, look for overlays within the race.
The second model I tried was based on the Euro Club index, which assigns points based on the result of matches between teams. Every time a team wins a match it gains index points and when it loses, the team loses index points. This is similar to the Elo rating that is used in chess and other sports. The Euro Club index does give reasonable predictions of match outcomes, but it didn’t beat the odds. Once the bookmaker’s margin is taken in to account, betting on the index lost money at a steady rate.
Sports betting in Texas is not currently legal, and more than likely won’t be for a long time. Despite the fact that Texas lawmakers lose out on close to two and a half billion dollars annually to casinos in neighboring states, there is no indication that they plan to expand gambling in the Lone Star state. As neighboring states begin to legalize sports betting, expect that deficit to grow even larger.
SBD also offers a lot more than reviews. Our editorial team publishes the latest sports odds, news, tips and pre-game betting analysis daily. Dig deep into major league sports with these pages on: football betting, basketball betting, baseball betting, hockey betting. They include where to bet, odds, news and trackers that follow playoff odds all season long. If you want to bet on other sports, pages like our MMA betting, golf betting and college football betting have sport specific betting information for you. We also provide our own odds on original entertainment props you won’t find anywhere else. Anytime something major is going on in sports, we probably have odds on it or can point you to someone who does and let you know how your money is best spent.
At first glance, the difference looks like it’s .53, or just over half a point. But the difference is actually 1.15, or just over a point. Notice that the offensive yards per point for the two teams is almost the same, at 18.49 and 18.48. But the defensive yards per point for team B are much lower than the defensive yards per point of team A, at 18.18 to 19.32.
On June 5, 2018, Delaware became the second state after Nevada to implement full-scale sports betting. Sports betting in the state is run by the Delaware Lottery and is available at the state's three casinos. Prior to 2018, the state offered limited sports betting consisting of parlay betting on NFL games. Delaware had been granted a partial exemption from the sports betting ban as it had made a failed attempt at legalized sports betting in 1976.[23][24][25]

SBD also offers a lot more than reviews. Our editorial team publishes the latest sports odds, news, tips and pre-game betting analysis daily. Dig deep into major league sports with these pages on: football betting, basketball betting, baseball betting, hockey betting. They include where to bet, odds, news and trackers that follow playoff odds all season long. If you want to bet on other sports, pages like our MMA betting, golf betting and college football betting have sport specific betting information for you. We also provide our own odds on original entertainment props you won’t find anywhere else. Anytime something major is going on in sports, we probably have odds on it or can point you to someone who does and let you know how your money is best spent.
I’m going to tell you how you can bet on sports and profit no matter the outcome of the game. There is a method that effectively turns sports betting into a way of investing your money, with regular profits above 10% per month. Please note that this is not gambling, or a “betting system” that only works until your luck runs out. This is an investment method. After you’ve placed your bets, you are guaranteed a profit. Luck has nothing to do with it.You win every time.
Sportsbook is your source for the best in sports betting entertainment. You'll find the widest variety of bets and odds in every sport imaginable including Major League Baseball, soccer, CFL football betting, NASCAR auto racing, tennis, golf, boxing, MMA and all of the NFL preseason, regular season and the Super Bowl LIII action. Sportsbook also offers the most college football betting options anywhere including sides, totals, props and futures odds. We've got you covered all year long all the way through the NHL hockey, NBA basketball and NCAA college basketball seasons. At Sportsbook your betting options go far beyond sports with a extensive menu of North American and International horse racing available daily as well as casino games and poker.
Z-Code is an on-going development, which means the programmers always keep tweaking and improving it, so all updates will be included in your membership at no extra cost. You might think this may create bad influence to users, for people like you might think the ZCode System is not yet well “constructed.” No, you are completely wrong. The team progressively develops the system for the sake of giving you the most up-to-date methods and features, meaning that your ZCode System will always be new and the trendiest online betting application.
If you are looking for GAMBLING ADVICE, this is not for you! We are here to make money and help YOU WIN with us! It`s about investing in sports and reaping insane amounts of money every single month. If you like the thrill of potentially losing your bet, try blackjack or poker. We do NOT follow sports for the sake of gambling, nor are we sports fanatics... This is a business for us and strictly so!
This is probably something you already knew. However, while most people know this, they tend to neglect its importance in the name of trying to win too quickly. Allow the quantity to come naturally. If you're only able to make one or two quality bets a week initially, that's okay. As your strategy grows and your game is sharpened, you'll be able to find more edges, and the number of games you bet will increase. Do not force this under any circumstances.

For the most part, avoid teasers, parlays, and future betting. The same goes for betting in running. These markets do not offer much value, unless you use line shopping or other tactics to scout out a good value. Bookies are too smart and will simply chew you up with the juice over time. The juice is simply too high for teasers, parlays, futures, and live betting for the vast majority of bettors.

The NBA is all about balance. Good pro teams build rosters with the kind of statistical balance that insures against streaking. The same goes for sheer size, always an important factor in team defense. But historically, the biggest teams in the modern league are not successful. In the 2013-2014 season, the tallest and heaviest overall team also turned in the league’s worst record. For the Philadelphia 76ers, size did not equal ticks in the win column. Finding teams that strike a balance between big bullies and quick shooters is critical to picking NBA winners – it’s that balance that allows a team to put up wins night after night over the course of an entire season.


Before I reveal the secrets of my betting model, we need to take a step back and get some of the basics straight. To the uninitiated, the world of online betting can be somewhat overwhelming. There are a huge number of bookmakers, all offering free starting bonuses and a whole range of products, from straightforward bets to more complicated ones such as Asian handicaps (where the weaker team is assigned extra goals at the start of the match), over/under corner markets (where the stake is multiplied by the number of corners over – or under – a target set by the bookmakers) and Scorecasts (that offer very long odds on the first or last goal scorer and the match result). But don’t worry about them: for the purposes of clarity, I decided to stick to the traditional win/draw/lose bets.
The plain, hard fact is most sports gamblers lose money. And the reason for this is simple: a lack of discipline and money management. This is why Doc's Sports was the first to develop a unit system for betting sports over 39 years ago. Many services now use a system similar to ours. We know from shopping our competition that none of them have had the success that we've had over the years. As with many things in life, experience plays a big part. It doesn't matter if you're a doctor, auto mechanic, investment advisor or a sports handicapper; the longer you do something the more you learn and the fewer mistakes you make. Doc (Morey Moseman) is the founder and has been the sole owner of Doc's Sports since it opened in 1971 and has had more experience than anyone in our industry.
The increased value of what we’re calling a game’s “context” is one of the more exciting factors in NBA betting. The NBA retains some of the high-drama and emotion of the college game, which is an element often lacking in the transition from college football to the NFL. Respecting the context of a game is not just a smart thing for a bettor to do strategically, it reflects an understanding of what is required for long-term (think season-long) success.
The third model was based on a concept called expected goals. In this model, each shot a team makes is assigned a value based on historical data of shots taken in similar situations. For example, a shot from inside the box typically has a 12% probability of going in, so it contributes 0.12 to a team’s expected goals total. Shots from outside the box have only a 3% chance of going in and contribute 0.03. Summing up all expected goals scored and conceded by a team gives a good overall estimate of the quality of a team’s attack and defence that can then be used to simulate future matches. My model based on expected goals resulted in some spectacular gains early on in the season. It predicted the decline of Chelsea, but it overrated Arsenal and Liverpool. While the expected goals model didn’t lose money, it made such wild predictions that it couldn’t be relied on for a steady return. 
You may notice that we haven’t really used the average yards per point that we tracked. The reason we tracked it is so we can make a better prediction if the line looks like it offers no value. In a game like this one, where it looks like the two teams are evenly matched, we might be able to get a better idea of the way the game will go by including the yards-per-point averages.
SBD also offers a lot more than reviews. Our editorial team publishes the latest sports odds, news, tips and pre-game betting analysis daily. Dig deep into major league sports with these pages on: football betting, basketball betting, baseball betting, hockey betting. They include where to bet, odds, news and trackers that follow playoff odds all season long. If you want to bet on other sports, pages like our MMA betting, golf betting and college football betting have sport specific betting information for you. We also provide our own odds on original entertainment props you won’t find anywhere else. Anytime something major is going on in sports, we probably have odds on it or can point you to someone who does and let you know how your money is best spent.
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