So, during the first half of the 2015-16 Premier League season I developed a set of models that tried to predict the outcome of games more accurately than the bookmakers’ odds did. I tested the models, refined them, and before too long I started to make money. From a starting capital of £400, I made £108.33 by the end of November: a return of 27% over two months. 


In my effort to "beat the closing number", I spend an hour or two every evening looking at every page in the Fantasy Sportsbook for the next days events. This is how I attempt to get the best of the OPENING number before it moves and/or is manipulated by public, sharp, and BIG money wagers. Consider soccer, for example. Living in America, I do not have much access to pertinent information about International Club teams, but I have found marginal success handicapping these leagues. How do I attempt to do this? One of my favorite wagers to make on club soccer is the draw. You may look at this as a sucker bet, but I am not making only a single play on one draw. Rather, if I pick 3 draws at +200, and only 1 out of the 3 games ends in a draw, I am breaking even. This is just an example why I believe that volume, coupled with bankroll management, is the single most valuable tip that I have picked up over the past 10 years.
Zcode System is a system that works for sports investors. Unlike when you bet on your favorite team, zcode system uses analytics to show the best bet whether the team is winning or losing. The system works void of emotions as they use technology statistics of the various teams since 1999 and the knowledge of human cappers, most of who are sports professionals or expert sports analyzers. The predictions are based on 15 years data and evidence. After you have been given the prediction, you can check the statistics on the members area as the site does not hide any data.
Please also explain your Risk Management method to prevent your subscribers’ bankruptcy by reducing loss, such as money management suggestion (stake amount & allocation tactics – fixed / variable / percentage / progressive etc.) if any? If you don’t provide stake suggestion advice, you may want to advise your subscribers on what sort of risk management they should take?
In three different experiments, participants were asked to make predictions about upcoming sporting events. In each study, half of the participants were randomly selected to make general win/lose predictions, while the other half were asked to make specific score predictions. The dependent measure was the same for both groups: Could they predict the winners?

What I learnt from my gambling experiment is that betting using mathematics is hard work. It took me a fair bit of time to develop the model of the Premier League. And the results aren’t directly transferable from one market to another. For the English Premier League, the bias against draws between well-matched teams might be explained by the media hype building up to these games. The newspapers carry stories strongly contrasting the two teams, and punters are tempted to opt for one side or the other, neglecting the correct probability of a draw. The same isn’t true for other leagues. When I tested my model on the Championship and lower leagues, without placing bets, I found that draws between well-matched teams were not undervalued on betting sites. 


This software is such simple to use because it does not require any special skill to operate the system. You are not required to become a computer guru before you can operate it. Ordinary person without any computer knowledge can easily operate the system. The app is simple and reliable. You can start to use the system as soon as you become a member. Everything is simplified for you. If you were in doubt as to whether you can make money with the app, it is recommended that you check reviews about the app and see positive things other users would say about it.
If you are looking for GAMBLING ADVICE, this is not for you! We are here to make money and help YOU WIN with us! It`s about investing in sports and reaping insane amounts of money every single month. If you like the thrill of potentially losing your bet, try blackjack or poker. We do NOT follow sports for the sake of gambling, nor are we sports fanatics... This is a business for us and strictly so!
If you are interested in a certain betting system, It is definite that you will need a test drive to test its credibility. The Zcode system provides a test drive for any member intending to sign in for its betting services. With the test drive, Zcode refunds any money you lose in the process. This way anyone interested can have a sneak preview of the system without having to incur any costs on it.
Most punters are looking for a quick-fix, have a closed mind, are lazy and want ‘tips’ spoon-fed to them but the main issue is that they have a very short-term mindset. I can pretty much tell which type of bettor someone will be within my first few interactions with them. If they have a run of bad results over a week or even a month then they will look to blame anyone but themselves instead of adapting the long-term mindset and the ability to examine their results which comes back to the previous step. What is long-term? Well some might consider it a few weeks, some a few months, some a season, very few consider a year or 3+ years but that is how it should be viewed. When you go for a job interview, unless you are a contractor, you don’t ask how much the weekly or monthly salary is…you are interested in the annual wage and that is how you should view your betting AT LEAST over a year.
We need to refine our handicapping to get the best value. That means we should move away from the simplistic dynamic of just merely forming an opinion along the lines of who will win. We need to use our handicapping to determine who will win, but more importantly, we need to calculate value. That means we are more concerned with the price. If we can consistently find wagers where the price is right, then we have a fighting chance. Looking for a great place to bet on games? Check out http://sports.williamhill.com which is one of the oldest and most trusted names on the net!
Your first and last stop when creating your sports betting system should be statistics. Start by making a list of things that you think are important when selecting the winner of a game. You can even start assessing how important you think that each of these stats is. In our Understanding Sports Betting Value article (which you NEED to read if you’re building a mathematical sports betting system), you’ll see that you can even assign percentages of importance to each factor that you come up with. You can then mathematically deduce a team’s likelihood of winning a game. Seriously, please read that guide from start to finish with extra emphasis on the “Calculating Predicted Actual Probabilities” section. You will not be disappointed.
The best games to wager on early in the season, for advantage gamblers looking to chip away at the bookmaker’s handicapping ability, are games between two teams with a lot of unknowns. Maybe one team has a new coach or a new star big man and the other is going through a variety of looks on offense. Sometimes a change as insignificant as a new owner or a rumor about a starting player counts, as the small team rosters make emotions run high.

The NBA is all about balance. Good pro teams build rosters with the kind of statistical balance that insures against streaking. The same goes for sheer size, always an important factor in team defense. But historically, the biggest teams in the modern league are not successful. In the 2013-2014 season, the tallest and heaviest overall team also turned in the league’s worst record. For the Philadelphia 76ers, size did not equal ticks in the win column. Finding teams that strike a balance between big bullies and quick shooters is critical to picking NBA winners – it’s that balance that allows a team to put up wins night after night over the course of an entire season.
Firstly, Please Avoid Prejudice of Betting = Gambling. We Do Betting but Don’t Count On Luck. Rather, we do 6 Advantage Plays based on mathematical edge to beat the bookies, casino & bingo. With that said, one of our policies is “Betting On Luck Is For Losers, Stop Gamble Betting But Bet on Only +EV (Expected Value)To Win Reliably. Actually, it is effectively our way to promote Responsible Gambling, and we strongly support GambleAware being explained in about us.
In general, placing bets based entirely on any one factor is a bad idea. That’s certainly true in the NBA, as true as it is for any other sport, but there is one aspect of pro basketball betting that can have an almost singular influence on the outcome of a game – its context, its position in a team’s season, and its position between home and away games as well as difficult or fluff games. Because every team plays 82 games in a relatively short amount of time, the impact of a game’s context can sometimes be the unknown that bettors can see coming.
The best games to wager on early in the season, for advantage gamblers looking to chip away at the bookmaker’s handicapping ability, are games between two teams with a lot of unknowns. Maybe one team has a new coach or a new star big man and the other is going through a variety of looks on offense. Sometimes a change as insignificant as a new owner or a rumor about a starting player counts, as the small team rosters make emotions run high.

That is the reason why I still think and I keep repeating it to every single person who is consulting this stuff with me that it is worth to invest more and take better services than pay less couple times just because of finding the right system from the ocean of poor ones. You will see after some time that you spend more for finding out what is the best solution for you for the lowest price possible than you would spend for top betting system which can really do something for you and bring you some stable income. Think more than twice while choosing the right sports betting platform, be that nice to yourself.
Once you’re much more experienced and ready to take things to the next level then I strongly Conquering Risk: Attacking Vegas and Wall Street by Elihu D. Feustel. This is a book for advanced sports bettors and not a good read for anyone not already winning. It is heavily math, statistic and handicapping intensive. If you eventually decided on a career as an advantage player at some point down the road you’ll want to work to understand what Elihu D. Feustel shares in this book.
The Zcode System forum keeps new and experienced users abreast with new information, offers machine recommendations, offers opinions about various games. It is an active community that gives you the extra information you need before placing your bet. There may be an injury that Zcode does not factor; the forum brings it to your notice. This is a big plus for the zcode members.
You’ll also find the fastest live lines at Bovada than any other sportsbook. Fans of live betting know that it’s all about speed. The faster those lines are presented, the more action you can get in on. Live betting is just one of the many perks that make Bovada a world-class sportsbook. You’ll find tons of wagering options available for you at the pace that you prefer.
To illustrate how being able to pick winners is only part of the equation, there should be times where you bet on something you think will lose. You might be asking yourself if you actually read that right. Pick things you think will lose? Yes, that's correct. If you see a boxer, for example, who you think will lose the fight, but he's a +600 underdog when he should be in the +300 range--that is profitable move over the long-run.
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