For bettors, let’s put this more plainly – small point spreads favor a team with a better defense more than a high-powered offense. The modern league is guard-heavy and PF/C-light. Obviously, the big men that provide defensive numbers and can also score are very few and very far between. That means just a few teams are likely to beat the spread based solely on their defensive ability. That makes identifying them very easy.
These data align with lessons learned from research on basic personal decisions. Whether choosing a jelly bean flavor, rating the attractiveness of a face, or selecting a poster to hang in a room, people are more satisfied with their selection and less likely to change their minds when they make their decisions quickly, without systematically analyzing their options or mulling over the reasons for their choice. The advice is thus the same whether considering complex scenarios or simple situations: Don't overthink it.

The second question to ask yourself is: What is my betting style? Are you already winning more than you lose and putting away your winnings? Is your bankroll steadily growing, or it is going downhill consistently and requiring you to re-deposit every week? Remember, betting on sports should be fun and if you’re losing money because you’re not making the right picks, then using the services of a professional handicapper could be a good idea to help you recoup some of your lost dollars.


When it comes to betting on sports online, why not go with the site that’s literally named after the name of the game? BetOnline sportsbook has been providing legal, fun sports betting opportunities to Texas residents for years. Not only will you be able to find lines on professional sports, you’ll also find betting opportunities on more college games than you’ll know what to do with. BetOnline has some of the most incredible wagering of any online gambling site period. When you’re at BetOnline, it doesn’t matter if it’s your first time betting or your thousandth time. They’ve got something for everyone, and a fully trained staff that can be reached 24/7 to help you if you really need it.
I found a long-shot bias in earlier Premier League seasons. For example, in 2014-15, putting money on Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester City against teams lower in the table would have given a small but reliable week-on-week pay-off. Big teams win slightly more often than predicted by the bookmakers’ odds. This bias disappeared during the 2015-16 season, with big teams performing worse than expected, and with “long shots” Leicester City defying the odds. Not only did some bookmakers initially offer Leicester at 5,000 to 1 to win the league, but they were also undervalued in almost every match they played.
Cindi May is a Professor of Psychology at the College of Charleston. She explores mechanisms for optimizing cognitive function in college students, older adults, and individuals with intellectual disabilities. She is also the project director for a TPSID grant from the Department of Education, which promotes the inclusion of students with intellectual disabilities in postsecondary education.

In three different experiments, participants were asked to make predictions about upcoming sporting events. In each study, half of the participants were randomly selected to make general win/lose predictions, while the other half were asked to make specific score predictions. The dependent measure was the same for both groups: Could they predict the winners?
I love watching a guy like Herman Edwards on TV. Let’s think about why ESPN hired him. He is fun, funny, full of energy, and has credibility having been a player and coach of two different teams. Why didn’t they hire a guy like John Outlaw who played the other cornerback position with Edwards in Philadelphia? It’s one of many reasons I’m sure but the main reason being he’s probably not as entertaining as Herman Edwards on TV. Herman is on TV to entertain you, not give you good value who to bet on. It doesn’t even matter what information he’s saying, the only thing his producers care about is if he is interesting. The real guys to listen to aren’t on the radio. The Vegas sharps that do this for a living are the ones to listen to. I’m not saying the X’s and O’s of the games aren’t important, but it doesn’t outweigh a good sound betting strategy.
Among the most popular options used by the software in the Zcode system, are the typical straight betting, over-under, handicaps, Asian handicaps, among others. All these options have recommendations of the best odds in each bookie available. Zcode is responsible for processing each piece of information during the day to arrive at a conclusion of which will be the best option to bet.
Also, make sure that you’re patient with tracking your results and making changes. Just as it’s not smart to draw initial conclusions without a decent sample size, the same is true when you make changes. Just because you’ve tested your initial system on 100 games doesn’t mean you get to say your sample size is 101 games on the next game after some changes. When you make changes to your system, your sample size resets.

Negative progression systems sound big and fancy, but think about it like this: losing is always negative. In this case, you increase your stake each time you lose. You may be thinking, “Wait! Why would I increase my bet if I lose?” The idea is to make up for your loss with a win on the current bet. This method can be super successful, but be careful: If you start a losing streak, you may get in over your head.
TheSportsGeek.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes. Sports betting and gambling laws vary by jurisdiction. We are not able to verify the legality of the information we provide, or your ability to use any sites that are linked to on this site, for every combination of your location, the sites’ location, and the type of service those sites provide. It is your responsibility to verify such matters and to know and follow your local laws.
Sports betting has resulted in a number of scandals in sport, affecting the integrity of sports events through various acts including point shaving (players affecting the score by missing shots), spot-fixing (a player action is fixed), bad calls from officials at key moments, and overall match fixing (the overall result of the event is fixed). Examples include the 1919 World Series, the alleged (and later admitted) illegal gambling of former MLB player Pete Rose, and former NBA referee Tim Donaghy.
You will also receive 6-unit games during the season, which are like a game of the month type situation. (You may get one or two of these a month per sport) These are exceptionally strong plays, where exclusive information will come into play. Seven and Eight unit plays are game of the year type situations. For instance Doc's Sports 7-unit game is Docs "Top College Game of the Season." This game has been a very high percentage winner over the last 36 years, and is a must for the serious player. In football, Doc's Sports 8-unit game is Doc's "Big Ten Game of the Year." This is the most sought after game in the country year after year. This is the game that made Doc's Sports famous - the game that won and covered 19 years in a row - the game in which Doc and his customers would move the Las Vegas line up to 6 points - DON'T MISS THIS GAME. The other handicapping services on our Web site use the same type of rating system for the same situations.
TREY,STAMOS,MARK,JENS,HUANG,thank u,thank u,thank u,thank u,brilliant day,won about 85% of all bets placed thanks 2 the most awesome crew around!!!!!!STAMOS how do u do it??so consistent youre like a tipping magician or wizard-and your magic dust is far too much for the bookies 2 combat.please never ever leave us.being a wizard,u shud live foreva???

Football is practically a religion in the Lone Star State, and with 23 NCAA Division I football teams calling Texas home, there’s no lack of action to be found when it comes to legal college football betting. Whether you’re a Longhorns diehard or a loyal Aggies supporter, you’ll be able to find coverage on any Texas college football team at online, offshore sportsbooks. These are currently the only books legally able to offer action on college football.
Yoon and his research team explored the optimal process of prediction in a series of studies examining bets made on soccer matches and baseball games. In their first study, they reviewed more than one billion (yes, billion) bets placed in 2008-2010 through Korea's largest sports-betting company, "Sports ToTo." They characterized the bets in one of two ways: (a) bets that involved a general prediction (i.e., win or lose), and (b) bets that involved a specific prediction (i.e., a precise score). Critically, they wanted to know which type of bet was more likely to result in an accurate prediction of the overall winner. Despite the fact that the specific bets were arguably more difficult and involved greater effort than general bets, they led to diminished success in predicting the global outcome of the game (i.e., which team won). This disadvantage was especially pronounced for games in which the favored team won.

Because of this, sports betting for Texas residents is rather limited, for the time being. Land-based sports betting isn’t currently legal, but we here at sports betting Texas believe in the power of positivity, which is why we’ve gone ahead and included information about where sports betting in Texas may take place whenever it gets the green light. While we believe in the power of positivity, we also believe in the instant gratification. So in addition to providing speculative sports betting info for Texas residents, we’ve also included information about how you can legally bet on sports in Texas right now.


At first glance, the difference looks like it’s .53, or just over half a point. But the difference is actually 1.15, or just over a point. Notice that the offensive yards per point for the two teams is almost the same, at 18.49 and 18.48. But the defensive yards per point for team B are much lower than the defensive yards per point of team A, at 18.18 to 19.32.
On June 5, 2018, Delaware became the second state after Nevada to implement full-scale sports betting. Sports betting in the state is run by the Delaware Lottery and is available at the state's three casinos. Prior to 2018, the state offered limited sports betting consisting of parlay betting on NFL games. Delaware had been granted a partial exemption from the sports betting ban as it had made a failed attempt at legalized sports betting in 1976.[23][24][25]
You will also receive 6-unit games during the season, which are like a game of the month type situation. (You may get one or two of these a month per sport) These are exceptionally strong plays, where exclusive information will come into play. Seven and Eight unit plays are game of the year type situations. For instance Doc's Sports 7-unit game is Docs "Top College Game of the Season." This game has been a very high percentage winner over the last 36 years, and is a must for the serious player. In football, Doc's Sports 8-unit game is Doc's "Big Ten Game of the Year." This is the most sought after game in the country year after year. This is the game that made Doc's Sports famous - the game that won and covered 19 years in a row - the game in which Doc and his customers would move the Las Vegas line up to 6 points - DON'T MISS THIS GAME. The other handicapping services on our Web site use the same type of rating system for the same situations.
These data align with lessons learned from research on basic personal decisions. Whether choosing a jelly bean flavor, rating the attractiveness of a face, or selecting a poster to hang in a room, people are more satisfied with their selection and less likely to change their minds when they make their decisions quickly, without systematically analyzing their options or mulling over the reasons for their choice. The advice is thus the same whether considering complex scenarios or simple situations: Don't overthink it. 

When using trend lines based on guesswork, it is definite that an amateur is likely to lose lots of cash. The Zcode system comes with reliable trend lines, which stretch back for years enabling the user to view all bets placed for that specific duration. One impressive factor about these trend lines is that they have a record of making millions of dollars since the system came into existence. 

If you’re looking for a book that the experts all go to, look no further than 5Dimes. This online sportsbook has been operational since the early 90’s, and has been at the top of the sports betting world since it first opened its doors. 5Dimes is also the leading sportsbook for high rollers and risk takers. This book has different lines on every game – don’t like what you’re looking at? Then check out their alternative lines. You’ll be able to essentially choose the odds that work best for you.
Please also explain your Risk Management method to prevent your subscribers’ bankruptcy by reducing loss, such as money management suggestion (stake amount & allocation tactics – fixed / variable / percentage / progressive etc.) if any? If you don’t provide stake suggestion advice, you may want to advise your subscribers on what sort of risk management they should take?
Staying on top of hundreds of college football and/or basketball teams in addition to the pros is more than a grind. It’s nearly impossible to win at everything – even oddsmakers know that – so go with what you know best and study every player on every team to make sure you’re not placing bets blindly on sports you don’t know enough about. By becoming a specialist in one sport, your betting confidence will grow along with your bankroll.
Odds are, if you are sports bettor, or just a sports fan who makes occasional bets, you’ve seen ads promoting the handicapper who always win and never loses. These ads are found across the internet from professional handicappers offering you their winning picks for a promotional price. But, is it really worth it to fork out a few bucks for what you hope will be picks that translate to winning bets?

The second model I tried was based on the Euro Club index, which assigns points based on the result of matches between teams. Every time a team wins a match it gains index points and when it loses, the team loses index points. This is similar to the Elo rating that is used in chess and other sports. The Euro Club index does give reasonable predictions of match outcomes, but it didn’t beat the odds. Once the bookmaker’s margin is taken in to account, betting on the index lost money at a steady rate.

Online sportsbook reviews serve an important role in the sports betting industry, most importantly for bettors themselves, and credible sports information websites are obliged to produce objective consumer reports on these betting sites. Why? Because there are rules and regulations that need to be followed in order to protect customers, and the unfortunate reality is there are a wide range of reputations out there from good to bad with mediocre somewhere in between.
This one is trickier and I find most struggle with. I find that yoga and meditation help tremendously with this but if that is a bit new-age for you then just lift some weights or go for a run to take your mind of things as you will make poor decisions if you base your betting on emotions. If you reaction to a losing bet is to blame the jockey, the trainer, the tipster first rather than just shake off a losing bet and moving on, then you need to practice detachment. If you are value betting you also need to accept you will back a lot more losers than winners but it’s important to get out of the winning/losing mindset, detach yourself from recent results and accept that losses are part of being a profitable long-term value punter.
Simply The Bets is dedicated to producing and providing clients with a consistently profitable system through a patient and objective approach. The number one key factor in losing money when it comes to gambling is emotion. We let our numbers and statistics do the talking. Our sports betting strategies aren't just about a quick betting trick to make money fast. Our business sports bet strategy is to make money over time and build success. See below for our success history:
Now don’t get me wrong, I lost for many years but I learned a tremendous amount from those days which have made me the profitable value investor I am today. I’ve listed some of the key tips to profitable betting below, there are plenty more but if you don’t have a grasp on these 7 I suspect you will always struggle to get any kind of decent return from betting.
18+ and BeGambleAware. Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions. Viewers are specifically warned that they should inquire into the legality of participating in any games and/or activities offered by such other sites. The owner of this website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no representation or endorsement of any of these games and/or activities offered by the advertiser. As a condition of viewing this website viewers agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from the viewer’s participation in any of the games and/or activities offered by the advertiser.
86,5 % is a success rate of ZCode System and I think it only proves how great this product is for real. MLB Pitcher Profit Oscillator is something that I value the most I think, it is one of the greatest feature I have ever seen on betting product and I have seen many. I do online bets since 2010 and I focus on highly accurate predictions to lower the risk as much as possible. Thats why I think its great to invest some money into some service like ZCode provides you. You wont feel such a results without some proper research and analyse and to do so really good in sports betting, you need to be specialist. If you want to do so on your own, prepare to have poor times for quite long period. These people have been studying and practising sports betting and have been involved in sports in a deep way for like 20 years and you wont get so many experiences within a short time, even tho you try hard. So to get such results as with ZCode System, prepare for a long long run. I advise you to make some money first and invest it, you will see the difference. :)
As we’ve seen in other strategies, the unit system uses a range assigned by the bettor. These typically fall between 1 and 10, and are based on the confidence a bettor has in the wager. You reserve a 10 for that very rare wager that stands out. The 1 is for your most certain stakes. Each unit will be a percent of your wallet. Most often, each is valued at 1% of your balance.
Are you a scientist who specializes in neuroscience, cognitive science, or psychology? And have you read a recent peer-reviewed paper that you would like to write about? Please send suggestions to Mind Matters editor Gareth Cook, a Pulitzer prize-winning journalist and regular contributor to NewYorker.com. He can be reached at garethideas AT gmail.com or Twitter @garethideas.
Here's what you're looking for. You're looking for bets where the implied probability is LESS than what you actually think is going to happen (your predicted probability). Remember, the sportsbook pays you out based on the likelihood of something happening. The less likely it is to happen, the more money they are going to pay you out. The more likely it is to happen, the less money they are going to pay you out when you're correct.
Whether you’re backing the Cowboys, routing for the Texans, or want action on an out of state team, these online books have you covered. Sports betting in Texas never was so easy as it is on one of the sites we recommend on this page. Any one of them has a mobile site, so that you can take the action with you, whether you’re at the game or watching at home. When you’re ready to put your money where your mouth is, head over to an online, offshore sportsbook for legal NFL betting in Texas.
Yoon and his research team explored the optimal process of prediction in a series of studies examining bets made on soccer matches and baseball games. In their first study, they reviewed more than one billion (yes, billion) bets placed in 2008-2010 through Korea's largest sports-betting company, "Sports ToTo." They characterized the bets in one of two ways: (a) bets that involved a general prediction (i.e., win or lose), and (b) bets that involved a specific prediction (i.e., a precise score). Critically, they wanted to know which type of bet was more likely to result in an accurate prediction of the overall winner. Despite the fact that the specific bets were arguably more difficult and involved greater effort than general bets, they led to diminished success in predicting the global outcome of the game (i.e., which team won). This disadvantage was especially pronounced for games in which the favored team won.

Well, first you need to convert the moneyline odds of (+400) into an implied probability. If the implied probability is lower than your predicted probability (40%), then there is value in the bet. You put (+400) into the converter, and you see that the implied probability is 20%. This means that you'd be getting paid out way more than the sportsbook should be paying you.
As the saying goes, too many cooks ruin the soup… we must limit the membership in order to keep the odds of the bookmakers in our favour and keep milking them like the fat cows they are to us ;) Remember, if too many people are using the same system, it will become ineffective as the odds will be influenced. Now, you are definitely in luck and at a very important point in your life.
This should probably go to number 1 to be honest but value means different things to different people. I make my own oddsline so I can see value in EVERY single race thanks to the automatically generated odds-lines for each race. Does that mean you should bet every single one? Well, no…that is where the ‘Specialise and Focus’ step comes in but if you are not backing horses at bigger odds than the market estimates their chances then you will really struggle to make a long-term profit. You could back a horse at 6/4 that should be 5/4, that is value but I would rather back a horse at 20/1 that should be 10/1. There may be longer losing runs but the payoff for me is far better. Of course this depends on how good you are at selecting long-odds shots but on Betfair you can get some crazily overpriced top-rated horses who pay 50/1 instead of the 33/1 SP for example. So don’t look for winners of races, look for overlays within the race. 

In three different experiments, participants were asked to make predictions about upcoming sporting events. In each study, half of the participants were randomly selected to make general win/lose predictions, while the other half were asked to make specific score predictions. The dependent measure was the same for both groups: Could they predict the winners?
The second question to ask yourself is: What is my betting style? Are you already winning more than you lose and putting away your winnings? Is your bankroll steadily growing, or it is going downhill consistently and requiring you to re-deposit every week? Remember, betting on sports should be fun and if you’re losing money because you’re not making the right picks, then using the services of a professional handicapper could be a good idea to help you recoup some of your lost dollars.
In fact, recent research by Song-Oh Yoon and colleagues at the Korea University Business School suggests that when you zero in on the details of a team or event (e.g., RBIs, unforced errors, home runs), you may weigh one of those details too heavily. For example, you might consider the number of games won by a team in a recent streak, and lose sight of the total games won this season. As a result, your judgment of the likely winner of the game is skewed, and you are less accurate in predicting the outcome of the game than someone who takes a big picture approach. In other words, it is easy to lose sight of the forest for the trees.
The Zcode System forum keeps new and experienced users abreast with new information, offers machine recommendations, offers opinions about various games. It is an active community that gives you the extra information you need before placing your bet. There may be an injury that Zcode does not factor; the forum brings it to your notice. This is a big plus for the zcode members.
Well, what started as an innocent try came up to be very promising, I picked Z Code System because I read honest review (not these fake comments around the web) which made me believe Z Code the most. Truth is that the price is higher than on the other sports investing systems but if you read closely what they have on official Z Code System websites and what you mostly can not see in reviews or comments around is the fact that the development team of Z Code System worked hard for at least 2 years just beta-testing the whole system before even launching it for real. I think that is the right prepare for business and everyone should take an example of how to build successful investing system that can be used by everyone.
There is a LOT of racing out there, more than there has ever been. My general advice to punters is to specialise and focus. I personally look at Class1/2 handicaps at the big meetings for my main bets but also look at Group races. Occasionally I will look at good Class 3 contests if I believe there is value. I will avoid maidens, novices, sellers, claimers, hunter chases, 2yo contests, fillies’ only contests and a few more that I consider to be ‘volatile’. This means I can focus on just a few races each weekend or at the main festivals and be more selective. So don’t overload yourself, find a race type you are good at or enjoy and learn everything you can about it.
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