To date, I have made 383 wagers, roughly 60-70 each day. Of those 383, only 9 have been 3 units, 38 have been 2 units, and the rest have been 1 unit. When I referenced the 50/50 "blind picking" I was only trying to convey my opinion that most -110 lines are posted so that the books are as near as possible to break-even. To me, this means that it is conceivable to pick every single favorite (or underdog) in every available line and have a REASONABLE, key word here, chance at being close to .500.
Zcode System is a system that works for sports investors. Unlike when you bet on your favorite team, zcode system uses analytics to show the best bet whether the team is winning or losing. The system works void of emotions as they use technology statistics of the various teams since 1999 and the knowledge of human cappers, most of who are sports professionals or expert sports analyzers. The predictions are based on 15 years data and evidence. After you have been given the prediction, you can check the statistics on the members area as the site does not hide any data.
At first glance, the difference looks like it’s .53, or just over half a point. But the difference is actually 1.15, or just over a point. Notice that the offensive yards per point for the two teams is almost the same, at 18.49 and 18.48. But the defensive yards per point for team B are much lower than the defensive yards per point of team A, at 18.18 to 19.32.
The ZCode system subscription usually costs about $199 a month ($49 after this discount). To avoid unduly influencing odds, ZCode regularly limits the number of subscribers. In addition to the main system, ZCode has formed a phenomenal community in the discussion forum. Did a reporter just tweet that a star pitcher has been scratched from tonight’s start? Chances are someone will post that in the forum about it so you can factor that insight into your analysis.
In this scenario, you are 3-1 on your picks, but you lost $40. You are winning 75% of your bets, but you're losing money. What you should be tracking to gauge your success is your Return on Investment and not your win/loss record. The amount you're profiting or losing is much more important than your record even though that seems to be what people tend to share.
‘First of all, we should discuss in details the meaning of word ‘correctly’. You can’t predict 10 matches in a row with success, even if you manage to achieve it, the next match will inevitably fail you. Do not feel discouraged, that ‘s just the way football betting works. To learn predicting football matches correctly, you should initially get used to losses. You can learn a lot from your losses. Keep daily records with your bets. Find your niche, perhaps you are very good at finding value of TOTAL GOALS odds, Asian Handicaps Odds. Concentrate in that niche. Just try to beat the Bookies’ manipulative moves. For more useful information you can read my answer to the question : ‘What is good strategy on betting on tips and following betting tipsters? ‘
In Asian betting markets, other frequently used formats for expressing odds include Hong Kong, Malaysian, and Indonesian-style odds formats. Odds are also quite often expressed in terms of implied probability, which corresponds to the probability with which the event in question would need to occur for the bet to be a break-even proposition (on the average).