Before deciding if you should pay for picks, you should determine your betting style. Determining your betting style will let you know if you need to pay an expert for your picks. Are you the type of bettor that likes to crunch a ton of numbers, sift through all the trends and get all the relevant team news on coaches, players, injuries, and off-field transgressions? Do you understand line movements and how to manage your money to ensure you get a maximum return on investment (ROI) from sports betting? If so, then buying picks doesn’t make sense since you’ll be basically paying for a professional handicapper to tell you what you already know. On the other hand, if you’re the type of bettor that doesn’t follow trends or wants to deal with line movements, then purchasing picks could be what takes you from being a betting novice to a pro sports wagerist. Or, and let’s face it, some people simply don’t have the time to look at every stat and break down every game. Why not get an expert’s opinion to help you out?
@beNBAsmith: I have to disagree. There are plenty of successful handicappers that thrive on quality over quantity. Two of the best I know of are Mike McClain and Takeo. Both choose quality games over quantity of games. To me, this is the most important quality that a handicapper can have. The ability to choose 1 quality game to wager 5 units on is worth more to me than choosing 10 games, wagering half a unit each, and hoping to hit half or better.
You can sort of do this yourself, but it’s not quite so easy. Fortunately you don’t need to take advantage of this profit source so much as ensure it’s not a profit drain. One method to do this is to cut out the middleman by placing your bets on an exchange like Betfair where you can actually act as a price-maker rather than a price-taker. Because it’s an exchange, you can’t always get paid to put on the bets you want, but sometimes you can, and overall you definitely pay much less to play than you would if you went to a traditional bookie. You can also reduce the vig by shopping around and betting with the best priced bookie, rather than going to the same place for all your bets.
Online betting is extremely entertaining and interesting activity – and also that´s why it´s so addictive. I think that everyone should try to do it on the higher level and don´t waste time with amateur betting, which might be fun when you do it for fun, but when you are loosing cash constantly just because of this fun, it´s not something you might be proud about – on the other hand doing it in far more advanced way than 99% of stupid people who are betting drunk in pub just for the thrill. You can actually make some awesome results when you invest your money to the right software – like Z Code System.
There are many things to consider when betting sports. If you are just playing for fun, it is still advantageous to follow the advice listed here, so your money lasts longer and you get more action for your dollar. However, if you are playing professionally, you must take heed of this advice and also do additional work to remain profitable. Topics such as bankroll management and variance come into play for the professional gambler every day. Read more about the Kelly staking plan to answer questions such as “How much should I bet?”
Let's look at a way oversimplified example to try and figure out the predictive probability of our ole' favorites the Dogaroos versus the Seattle Stinkpots from our earlier examples. Let's say you determine that offense, speed, and coaching are the three criteria that will help you determine who will win. Again, a real formula will have way more criteria than this, but this works for this example. You decide that offense is 50% of the equation, speed is less important at 30% of the equation, and coaching only plays into the equation 20% of the time.
You can run as many queries as you want and we cover the 6 major sports: NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, MLB and NHL. The database is updated every day so you always have the most up-to-the-minute results at your fingertips. What if there’s been a coaching change mid-season? You might want to know how the team is responding to their new leader – so change the criteria to only cover games involving the new coach. There’s so much you can do with the Betting System Generator.
The second approach is to create a mathematical formula that gives you a percentage based on the stats and factors that you put into it. There is a multitude of different ways to build your formulas, but here is a general idea to get you started. Come up with the criteria that you think is important to figure out how likely a team is to win. This could be any number of criteria and usually the more, the better. <