Doc's Sports Consensus Picks – Doc's Sports has been in the sports information business for nearly 50 years, and we know how to spot talent. We have signed many of the best guys in the industry to provide picks on our site, and the results have been spectacular. Now we have used that same trained eye for talent to bring the best of the best in daily sports picks from the cream of the crop best handicappers in the nation. It would take hundreds of hours and thousands of dollars for a bettor to search out these handicappers on their own. But Doc's has done all the legwork and provides all these high-value, expert picks in one place for one low price! You can sign up for a free trial of Doc's Consensus service and find out more information about their service by clicking here to visit their homepage on Doc's site.
Sports betting in Texas is not currently legal, and more than likely won’t be for a long time. Despite the fact that Texas lawmakers lose out on close to two and a half billion dollars annually to casinos in neighboring states, there is no indication that they plan to expand gambling in the Lone Star state. As neighboring states begin to legalize sports betting, expect that deficit to grow even larger.
• Have reasonable expectations. Professional gamblers who make their living via sports betting win approximately 54- 58% of their wagers. That means that on average they lose more than 40% of their bets. Remember that these are averages. That means that in any given week a bettor may win 70% of their games and the following week lose 60%. The first week you may have made $700 on $1,000 worth of wagers but the next week, betting the same amount of cash, you lost $680. Over two weeks, you’ve turned a $20 profit. That’s to be expected in a real world scenario. (Of course, you still have your $1,000 bankroll.)
When I finished writing “Soccermatics”, in December 2015, my “odds bias” model had doubled the starting capital invested in it. I’d placed enough bets to demonstrate that these profits were statistically significant and that I hadn’t just been lucky. After that, my betting became more sporadic. I placed a few bets when I had time, but I often forgot. Feeding odds in to my laptop on a Friday night before the weekend’s games was not really a top priority. There is more to life than gambling.
Betting systems based on statistical analysis have been around for a while, however they have not always been well known. One group that was known for their accurate predictions was called The Computer Group. They formed in Las Vegas in 1980 and successfully wagered on college football and basketball games for years making millions. Michael Kent, co-founder and one of the lesser-known individuals of the group, would use his computer software to run through massive amounts of data, which then provided the group's network of bettors with useful information. The network of bettors would then bet on games in which they had a statistical advantage (as determined by the software). Billy Walters, who was profiled on 60 Minutes,[1] was the most famous member of the group.[2]

I also agree with you that quality of picks is more important than quantity. However, being new to the site and never having tracked my picks over a long period of time, I am attempting to grade myself and get a better understanding of which types of wagers I should make more of and which I should not. For this reason I have been limiting myself to making mostly 1 unit wagers until I gain more confidence by seeing success in specific areas.
If you are looking for GAMBLING ADVICE, this is not for you! We are here to make money and help YOU WIN with us! It`s about investing in sports and reaping insane amounts of money every single month. If you like the thrill of potentially losing your bet, try blackjack or poker. We do NOT follow sports for the sake of gambling, nor are we sports fanatics... This is a business for us and strictly so!
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In February 2011, FDU's PublicMind released a poll which showed that half (55%) of voters agreed "that people bet on sports games anyway, so government should allow it and tax it." On the other hand, approximately (37%) of New Jersey voters concurred that betting on sports is "a bad idea because it promotes too much gambling and can corrupt sports." Again, by a significant margin (70%-26%), voters who already engage in sports betting in office pools tend to be more supportive of legal sports betting than other voters.[10]
Odds for different outcomes in single bet are presented either in European format (decimal odds), UK format (fractional odds), or American format (moneyline odds). European format (decimal odds) are used in continental Europe, Canada, and Australia. They are the ratio of the full payout to the stake, in a decimal format. Decimal odds of 2.00 are an even bet. UK format (fractional odds) are used by British bookmakers. They are the ratio of the amount won to the stake - the solidus "/" is pronounced "to" for example 7/1 "seven to one". Fractional odds of 1/1 are an even bet. US format odds are the amount won on a 100 stake when positive and the stake needed to win 100 when negative. US odds of 100 are an even bet.
The third model was based on a concept called expected goals. In this model, each shot a team makes is assigned a value based on historical data of shots taken in similar situations. For example, a shot from inside the box typically has a 12% probability of going in, so it contributes 0.12 to a team’s expected goals total. Shots from outside the box have only a 3% chance of going in and contribute 0.03. Summing up all expected goals scored and conceded by a team gives a good overall estimate of the quality of a team’s attack and defence that can then be used to simulate future matches. My model based on expected goals resulted in some spectacular gains early on in the season. It predicted the decline of Chelsea, but it overrated Arsenal and Liverpool. While the expected goals model didn’t lose money, it made such wild predictions that it couldn’t be relied on for a steady return. 
I found a long-shot bias in earlier Premier League seasons. For example, in 2014-15, putting money on Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester City against teams lower in the table would have given a small but reliable week-on-week pay-off. Big teams win slightly more often than predicted by the bookmakers’ odds. This bias disappeared during the 2015-16 season, with big teams performing worse than expected, and with “long shots” Leicester City defying the odds. Not only did some bookmakers initially offer Leicester at 5,000 to 1 to win the league, but they were also undervalued in almost every match they played.
When it comes to global application, we have separately issued How To Make Money From Offshore Sports Betting With 3 Advantage Plays,  where you will find the specific methods that enable people from almost all countries to exploit the lucrative offshore advantage gambling opportunities (the above 3 sports betting methods) you may have overlooked. Very useful, so suggest take a look if you haven’t done that yet. It’s worth your 10 minutes reading.
Money management is probably one of the most important things to learn first. Some will say money management is useless if you can't pick winners and not the most important thing. I do agree with that, but before you can learn to win correctly, you must learn to lose correctly. Minimizing losses is imperative while learning, or trying new systems. There's no shame in betting ten or even five dollars a game while on your journey figuring out how to pick winners. I do think it is important to have something on it though. Being able to get the best number, and pretending to get the best number can be two different things. So what's good money management? For beginners I suggest betting 1% flat bets while using a small bank roll. Learning to pick winners could take years, and its best to lose the least possible, all the while saving a separate amount of cash for the big bank roll you will need once you can pick winners. Once you get to the promise land and have a large sample size to look at, you can decide whether going full-Kelly, or using variation unit sizes that best fit your abilities to maximize profits. One misstep is over valuing your bet size with variations. Make sure your sample size is big enough to justify your variations.
The problem with this is it takes a large amount of money. Most arbitrage opportunities only give you an small edge. So it would take a bet of £/$1000, and the necessary funds to cover the other side of the bet. In order to make £/$100.00 or so in overall profit. Bets like this stand out and bookmakers will flag you up quickly and limit your account.
Let's say you see a baseball team that you think will lose the game. If that team is like +280 and you think it has a significantly better chance than that--you should bet it. Betting on baseball teams that should be +180 or +200 at a price of +280 over the long-run will prove to be a successful move. So we see it's not exactly all about picking winners, is it?
One additional tip that's very popular is to avoid betting on any of your personal favorite teams. Many sports bettors report struggling to avoid bias and get what they want to happen out of their mind when placing wagers for or against their own team. It's up to you whether or not you'd like to follow this tip. From our experience, though, most sports bettors struggle with this even if they claim they have no issues with it.

The Zcode system comes with some system tools all fashioned to give you successful betting sessions. These systems include; The oscillator for clear viewing of the team’s line and trend, a total predictor for predicting totals, line reversal to display changes in charts, totals, line and odds, power rank indicator to automatically update power rankings and the MLB profit oscillator for determining the pitcher’s progress.
It published “Sports Investing Bible” being sold via Amazon. It outlines several winning systems from experts who make a living through sports investing. They demonstrate how to take the gambling out of sports betting. ZCode just added Audible Version to the above Bible and also being sold through Amazon, which you can listen anytime anywhere conveniently. This audio book is exactly the same contents of the above paper book. It is your crash course in sports investing that destroys popular misconceptions and provides invaluable sports prediction analysis tools. I believe reading our ZCode Review & listening to The Bible will give you a great insight on this system as well as the winning principle of the sports betting experts.
Systems can be deceiving. Any sample space can be constrained enough with meaningless criteria to create the illusion of a profitable betting system. For example, a coin can be flipped with heads being home teams and tails being road teams. Heads and tails each have a 50% probability of landing but if the amount of flips is limited to a small number, it is conceivable to create the illusion of predicting heads will come up 75% of the time.

– More modern tools are being developed and released even as of this writing. These days, a bettor can look at a tool such as the online game prediction charts at teamrankings.com. This list presents games, picks, and even a confidence rating that tells readers how strong the pick is in terms of statistical analysis. Other sites have similar systems that essentially point bettors in the direction of the most statistically-likely winners.
The second question to ask yourself is: What is my betting style? Are you already winning more than you lose and putting away your winnings? Is your bankroll steadily growing, or it is going downhill consistently and requiring you to re-deposit every week? Remember, betting on sports should be fun and if you’re losing money because you’re not making the right picks, then using the services of a professional handicapper could be a good idea to help you recoup some of your lost dollars.

In three different experiments, participants were asked to make predictions about upcoming sporting events. In each study, half of the participants were randomly selected to make general win/lose predictions, while the other half were asked to make specific score predictions. The dependent measure was the same for both groups: Could they predict the winners?

Value is what it's all about. If we generally make wagers where the true odds of something are better than what the bookie is offering, we will have a chance to be successful over the long-haul. If we don't do that--we will lose. It's as simple as that. For example, expert football bettors don't just sit there and say "Oh, the Patriots are gonna kill the Bills this week" and then just thoughtlessly make a bet on New England. They might feel they will win, but they determine at what threshold. They don't just blindly accept what the point-spread is without question.
–     BY FAR the best thing about Zcode has to be the new done-for-you systems.  These are proven trend lines that take all the guesswork out of betting.  They are so freakin’ simple a child could make money (which I don’t recommend because of underage gambling laws and everything).  These lines stretch back for years and show you each and every bet made during that time period.  Some of these lines have made over $1 million since their inception.  If you’re looking to make some serious cash with sports investing, this is, hands down the best place to start.  I was making good money before, but Holy Crap has this taken it to the next level.

The small number of matches played at international tournaments means that we can’t draw strong statistical conclusions, but I have found a small bias in the odds from previous World Cups. In matches where a slightly favoured team (with odds between 3/5 and 3/2) plays a less favoured team (with odds between 3/2 and 7/2) then the underdog wins more often than predicted by the odds.  This is very different from the long-shot bias found in the Premier League. Why do the favourites tend to be overvalued in international tournaments? One answer is that these tournaments attract a lot of punters who don’t usually bet on football, and it is plausible that name recognition drives their decisions. Their money goes on the well-known footballing nations, so yours should go on their slightly lesser-known opponents. However, extreme long shots, like Iceland, are still not worth the risk.
Another important source you can use to research online betting websites is social media. Every trustworthy online gambling site should have a presence on Twitter and Facebook as a valuable customer service tool. Following and/or “Liking” the sports betting site enables bettors to see how the company communicates and interacts with potential and current customers, giving them another level of trust and the necessary knowledge needed to make the right decision when the time comes to choose one. If a book is very responsive on social media, you can see that they really care about their customers and want to resolve issues in a timely and efficient manner.
There should be no such thing as a ‘fun’ bet – the only fun bet is one that wins you a heap of cash. Don’t bet for an ‘interest’ in a race or a football match just because your team is playing. It’s one of the biggest problems punters get into trying to win every race or over-betting for the dopamine release into your brain. Like being a junkie, it’s a short-term rush and the longer-term results are an emptier betting bank and a feeling of deflation so ignore these Twitter Tipsters that are so prevalent nowadays asking you to ‘post your slip’ or bet for Yankees, Lucky-15’s every day. Ask whether they bet all these ‘tips’ they give out, there is a reason why they don’t record their results and plug affiliate links constantly, they basically want you to lose so they earn 33% commission off your cumulative losses. It’s difficult enough to find one winner let alone 4 and the bookies will always welcome your custom. One way to really tell if you are a losing action junkie is whether you still actually have a betting account that accepts your bets.
We have plenty of sports betting information at madduxsports.com and we have listed a portion of it below. Read up on all you can so you have the greatest advantage over the bookmaker this season! We have recently started to offer tennis, nascar, and golf wagering guides so we are currently working on writing up more articles on those small market sports and will include them to this section.

Sports betting systems can use many different factors including statistical, psychological, situational, motivational, or a combination of any of the above to combine with past performances to support picking one outcome over another in a game. Certain events that favour an outcome are called angles, and sports betting systems usually combine different angles to provide a higher chance of winning selections.
Sports betting systems can use many different factors including statistical, psychological, situational, motivational, or a combination of any of the above to combine with past performances to support picking one outcome over another in a game. Certain events that favour an outcome are called angles, and sports betting systems usually combine different angles to provide a higher chance of winning selections.

Betting on sports games is a hobby for many, and most people just consider it to be a fun and friendly past time. But there are ways to consistently make money on sports betting, and the tricks are understanding betting strategy and the different types of bets you can make, understanding the odds, making smart bets, and walking away from bad bets. It’s also important to remember that making money on sports betting is something that requires time and dedication: it’s not about making a single huge bet and winning lots of money in one shot. Instead, it’s all about making a series of small, smart bets that add up over the season to an overall gain.

The annual event is a meeting of the minds for all forms of gaming, from slots to casino hospitality, most of which doesn’t interest me even a little bit. But this year the focus was almost exclusively on sports gambling. It’s perhaps only a coincidence that Monmouth Park and the Borgata, a 17-minute walk from Harrah’s (speaking from experience), started taking bets during day two of the conference, just hours before Governor Phil Murphy addressed attendees.
Technically, the sportsbook tries to set the betting lines at exactly what they think it should be (minus a few percentage points for the house rake so they can make money). They will move this line based on how people are betting to try to encourage or discourage bets onto different sides of a game. This means that the line will frequently move to accommodate the goals of the sportsbook. /injects>
While the usual long-shot bias didn’t make money last season, I found an additional bias that was immune to the peculiarities of Leicester’s amazing run, the frailties of Manchester City’s defence and the unreliability of Arsenal’s strikers. Punters don’t like backing draws in big matches. When Manchester United host Manchester City or Arsenal visit Liverpool, these matches see two very well matched teams play each other. But punters like to see a win in one direction or the other and the bookmakers increase the odds for a draw. This is a consistent bias over a number of Premier League seasons, and the 2015-16 season was no exception. Many “big game” matches ended in draws and backing these draws was the main source of my profits. 
Bonuses are in shorter supply than in years past, but there are still good values to be found here. Sportsbooks often offer a “first time deposit” bonus or a reload bonus for players who are depositing. This can be a goldmine when played correctly. It is good to always try and max out the bonus while it is available. So if a book offers a reload bonus of 20% up to a $2000 deposit, it is in your best interest to deposit the full amount and take advantage of the $400 bonus. Signing up for a new book just to get the bonus is often a good play as well. Hunt online for books, talk to your friends, and search forums to find the best bonuses available. Be especially aware of special bonuses during busy times such as the NFL Playoffs or big soccer betting events such as the World Cup, Euros or even the Champions League finals, since books will be highly competitive and vying for your action. 

Most prospective bettors visit Sports Betting Dime on game days and often just minutes before kickoff. It’s not that our readers are impulsive bettors but we’ve all been there. As game time approaches and urgency grows, what was originally an inkling to bet on a particular game becomes a must, even though the prospective bettor may not yet have an account at a gambling site with a legit sports betting option.

Z-Code System reviews sporting history to identify the most secure bets for these day’s sporting events. The way Z-Code system works, is that it compares past sporting events with the day’s line up of matches. We have a vault of statistics going back to 1999, which is used to identify similarities between the past and present teams. The system is not used to provide a recommended winner for each game, but to only identify the games where there is a very high probability of certain events happening.


The featured sports betting sites listed at SBD all understand this urgency. Every site ranked here can get you signed up, funding your account, and betting in a hurry – all often in less time than it takes to have a pizza delivered. If you’re prepared to deposit with a common method like Visa or Bitcoin, you should be good to go at any site we feature within 10-15 minutes.

– Bettors have always been able to purchase the advice of a “professional handicapper.” These services connect individuals to information provided by a personality who dedicates himself to handicapping, and for the price of a tuxedo rental he’ll ostensibly help you make winning picks all season long. These days, the same kind of info is available by text message, email, social media post, etc. Some people have trouble justifying the cost, and for these people, other methods are available.


– Most of today’s bookmaker apps and websites have their own convenient analysis tools or tip forums made available from the home page or in a customized window. These tip sheets or (in some very few cases) actual pieces of recorded audio analysis are part of the membership package at certain sportsbooks, so not using them is sort of like getting less out of your membership. These services are available for free for the most part, so anything of value learned from them is like adding money to your bankroll.
Line shopping is an easy way to gain an edge. This method involves looking for sharp, trusted lines (usually from well respected, liquid books) and then finding other sites that are slow to update their lines. This can happen a lot in the last hour before game time. One book may list a team at -3 and then all of the sudden the line starts dropping, first to 2.5 and then all the way down to 2 and finally 1.5. However, while the line is at -2.5 at one book, another may still have -3. This would provide a great opportunity to take the underdog and “chase the steam.”
To make the best out of the betting endeavors, an amateur needs to be aware of every pick that is available. The Zcode system app can be downloaded in your Smartphone to enable you to get an alert every time there is a pick. With this, you will be able to maximize your betting opportunities conveniently without having to log in every now and then to grab betting opportunities available.
Created by the most successful FX EA (expert advisor) team, and Zcode is our brand new development – a winning sports investing software that can predict games and results with extremely high accuracy. This system is a private members club that reveals recommended bets for the day’s sporting events. The cold, analytical approach of the system is designed to take emotions out of sports gambling so that only bets with the highest chance of success are placed.
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