In November 2014, a poll found that there had been a major shift in attitudes towards sports betting in the United States, showing that 55% of Americans now favored legal sports betting, while 66% of respondents agreed that this should be regulated by state laws, as opposed to federal legislation.[16] The poll also suggested that 33% of respondents disagreed with the notion of legalization. 

The ability to consistently pick winners during the length of an NBA season does not come easily. Professional sports bettors would be ecstatic to pick the correct winner 60% of the time. Considering the cost of wagers, breaking even isn’t even a matter of picking the winning team 51% of the time – mathematically speaking, a bettor who can pick the winning team 52.4% of the time is literally at the break-even point. Not only is picking winners tough, it requires being right more than half the time.
In general, placing bets based entirely on any one factor is a bad idea. That’s certainly true in the NBA, as true as it is for any other sport, but there is one aspect of pro basketball betting that can have an almost singular influence on the outcome of a game – its context, its position in a team’s season, and its position between home and away games as well as difficult or fluff games. Because every team plays 82 games in a relatively short amount of time, the impact of a game’s context can sometimes be the unknown that bettors can see coming.
There are many things to consider when betting sports. If you are just playing for fun, it is still advantageous to follow the advice listed here, so your money lasts longer and you get more action for your dollar. However, if you are playing professionally, you must take heed of this advice and also do additional work to remain profitable. Topics such as bankroll management and variance come into play for the professional gambler every day. Read more about the Kelly staking plan to answer questions such as “How much should I bet?”
There are a couple of federal laws that directly influence sports betting in all fifty states, not just in Texas, that you should be aware of. These are the Federal Wire Act and the Unlawful Internet Gaming Enforcement Act (UIGEA). The federal Wire Act prevents people from taking wagers over state lines. The UIGEA prevents banks and financial institutions from processing gambling transactions made online in the US. This doesn’t prevent the usage of online sportsbooks, it just makes it a little tougher for credit cards to be accepted as deposit methods.

Until September last year, I had never really gambled. I’d been to the dog tracks a few times when I lived in Manchester and once went to Aintree to watch the Grand National. Some of my friends would bet on the football, and I could see how it could add an extra dimension to watching the game. But I’d never got over the entry barrier posed by opening up an account and feeding in my credit card details. 

“A small number of bets were made at the erroneous price over an 18-second period. We honored all such bets on the Broncos to win the game at the accurate market price in accordance with our house rules and industry practice, which specifically address such obvious pricing errors,” FanDuel said in its statement. “We have reached out to all impacted customers and apologized for the error.”
What you should do instead is start by predicting how you think the game is going to go. Do this before you even look at any lines or opinions by anyone else. Why? Well, there is something known as the self-fulfilling prophecy. Basically, if you want to see something, you will subconsciously start looking for things that validate that. If you want to bet that Team A will win, you'll start noticing stats that support that viewpoint and ignore ones that don't. All of this usually happens without your brain consciously being aware of it. To avoid this, make your predictions about the game before you look and get any lines or odds in your head.
The second model I tried was based on the Euro Club index, which assigns points based on the result of matches between teams. Every time a team wins a match it gains index points and when it loses, the team loses index points. This is similar to the Elo rating that is used in chess and other sports. The Euro Club index does give reasonable predictions of match outcomes, but it didn’t beat the odds. Once the bookmaker’s margin is taken in to account, betting on the index lost money at a steady rate.
The only way to achieve long-term success at sports betting is by following a winning system and fundamental handicapping, combined with sound money management. Our betting systems were developed by a team of economists and financial experts to identify measurably mispriced games. Sportsbooks leave money on the table every day as they look to offset risk. Our strategies are designed to alert members to these profitable situations. 

NBA bettors and fans give team and player offensive performances too much credit. That isn’t to say that offense isn’t important; only that long-term success in a league with so many games across such a large amount of calendar time requires a certain amount of defensive play. A quick high-percentage offense is sexy for television but without a solid performance on the other side of the ball, it is not a team that will produce wins long-term.
Great point to bring to mind... it requires the novice handicapper to "perform an autopsy" on all wagering events to see where he got the best of the line movement or did not. Not a bad idea to "perform an autopsy" for any number of reasons...but as both you & the article's author pointed out, it is "critical" in temrs of beating the closing number/line.

... it`s a machine, a "code" so to speak... it has no favourite players or teams... it is ice cold and tracks performance & performance only! Handicappers that predict games tend to have favourites, even if they don`t admit it... their choices are emotional... and without 100% objectivity, you can never be as accurate as a proven prediction model... that`s why, we eat handicappers for breakfast!

You've read of three free articles this month. Subscribe now for unlimited online access. You've read of three free articles this month. Subscribe now for unlimited online access. This is your last free article this month. Subscribe now for unlimited online access. You've read all your free articles this month. Subscribe now for unlimited online access. You've read of three free articles this month. Log in for more, or subscribe now for unlimited online access. Log in for two more free articles, or subscribe now for unlimited online access.


Betting site features - If you’re searching for a site with a particular feature, like a poker room to play a few hands while watching the game, we can help you with that. In addition, when rookie gamblers evolve into more seasoned sports-betting aficionados, they may or may not outgrow their original sports betting site. SportsBettingDime can help every type of player as needs evolve.
The second approach is to create a mathematical formula that gives you a percentage based on the stats and factors that you put into it. There is a multitude of different ways to build your formulas, but here is a general idea to get you started. Come up with the criteria that you think is important to figure out how likely a team is to win. This could be any number of criteria and usually the more, the better. <
×